Risk & trading disclaimer

Pricedger reads publicly available market data from Kalshi and Polymarket, estimates a fair probability for each contract using a quantitative model and AI analysis, and publishes a standardized signal: a side, a maximum entry price, an estimated edge, a confidence level and a suggested allocation expressed as a percentage of a model bankroll.

These signals are standardized and identical for every subscriber. They are not tailored to your finances, your existing positions, your risk tolerance or your objectives, and they are not individualized investment, financial, legal or tax advice.

• It is not a broker, exchange, dealer or money transmitter.
• It does not hold, receive or transmit customer funds.
• It cannot place, modify, cancel or settle trades, and has no such capability.
• It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Kalshi or Polymarket.
• It does not promise, project or guarantee profits.

• Probability estimates are model outputs, not facts, and can be materially wrong.
• Markets move rapidly; a signal may be stale by the time you see it.
• Estimated edge is calculated before exchange fees, slippage and taxes.
• AI-generated analysis can misread rules, misstate events or hallucinate detail.
• Market data may be delayed, incomplete or incorrect, including data from the exchanges themselves.
• Past model performance, including anything on our public track record, does not guarantee future results.

Event contracts are speculative and involve substantial risk. A contract that settles against you is worth zero. You can lose some or all of the money you put at risk. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose, and never treat an allocation percentage shown in this product as a recommendation about your personal finances.

Prediction-market availability differs by country and by state, and platforms operate different products in different jurisdictions. Pricedger does not verify whether you are eligible to trade anywhere. Links to an exchange are provided for reference only and are not an invitation to trade. You are solely responsible for determining whether trading is lawful and available to you, and for complying with the terms of any platform you use.

Every trading decision is yours alone. Read each market's resolution rules and settlement source on the exchange before acting, and treat Pricedger's output as one input among several.