Pricedger
Kalshi · Polymarket · Live data
Pricedger scans live contracts on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket Global, prices fair probability with a quantitative model and an AI deep dive, then publishes one clear signal: buy YES at 34¢ or lower — with a standardized model allocation. You decide whether to trade.
Side
BUY YES
Max entry
34¢
Model edge
+7¢
Model allocation
2.4%
365
Days of contracts covered
3
Market venues in one table
v3.0
Versioned model on every call
Public
Brier & calibration scoring
How it works
Pricedger indexes open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket Global contracts settling in the next 365 days — with the price, activity and depth fields each venue makes available.
A quantitative model combines live prices, momentum, order-book pressure, cross-venue evidence and historical calibration. The AI deep dive adds rules, current news and supported official data.
A quarter-Kelly model turns the edge into a standardized paper allocation, adjusted for realistic order-book cost and capped for category and same-event concentration.
Every eligible call is logged before settlement and scored. Reliability curves and category Brier scores feed measured overconfidence back into future calls.
Inside the terminal
Compare Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket Global in one place. Filter the board and use the opportunity scanner to surface contracts worth researching.
Compare the YES and NO cases, probability estimates and model disagreements. Supported contracts add official economic, Fed or weather data to the analysis.
Track large Kalshi and Global Polymarket trades, explore the wallet leaderboard, and follow Global Polymarket wallets for alerts. Big trades are evidence to investigate, not proof of an edge.
Spot ambiguous wording, timing traps and settlement clauses before they surprise you. Review flagged text and AI explanations in supported deep dives — risk flags are not a guarantee of how a market settles.
Set your market filters and risk limits, then let an hourly quantitative agent record hypothetical trades and track their results. Paper trading only — no real orders, funds or AI calls from the agent.
Paste a Kalshi or Polymarket link, or upload a contract screenshot. Clear matches open the full market analysis; unmatched contracts can be entered manually for a standalone calculation.
Pricing
Full Pro access, no credit card required. Research and paper trading only.
7 days free. No credit card required — just create an account and start.
Create an account and you get full Pricedger Pro for 7 days — no credit card needed. When the 7 days are up, pick a plan to keep Pro features; nothing is charged automatically.
No. Pricedger is read-only. It reads market data and gives you a call — you place any trade yourself on the exchange.
Directly from Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket Global public market data. Supported deep dives also use official BLS, New York Fed and National Weather Service data. Missing fields stay unavailable rather than being invented.
A side (YES or NO), a maximum entry price, a confidence level and the reasoning behind it — from a quant model plus an AI review of the market's rules and context.
No. Create an account and the full market board and scanner load immediately.
Start your 7-day free trial and the full Kalshi and Polymarket board, the scanner, AI Deep Dive analyses and paper allocations are live in under a minute.
Start 7-day free trialNo credit card required · nothing is charged unless you choose a plan. Read-only market data — Pricedger never places trades or moves funds. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.