Polymarket (Global)
Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun
Maria Timofeeva
Updated 18m ago · Settles Nov 5, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
32¢
Bid 31¢ · Ask 32¢
Pricedger fair probability
31%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
253,281
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Xinran Sun in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Xinran Sun. This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Maria Timofeeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology