Polymarket (Global)
Samsun: Alicia Dudeney vs Ayla Aksu
Alicia Dudeney
Updated 1h ago · Settles Oct 14, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
27¢
Bid 25¢ · Ask 29¢
Pricedger fair probability
26%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
58,544
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Alicia Dudeney and Ayla Aksu in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alicia Dudeney' if Alicia Dudeney advances against Ayla Aksu. This market will resolve to 'Ayla Aksu' if Ayla Aksu advances against Alicia Dudeney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determin…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology