Polymarket (Global)

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yashar

Updated 2m ago · Settles Oct 28, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

51¢

Bid 50¢ · Ask 51¢

Pricedger fair probability

51%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-0.5 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

185,756

Fine-print risk

38/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or…

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