Polymarket (Global)
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
Zhang Shengmin
Updated 1h ago · Settles Jan 1, 27 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
2¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
33,589
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousti…
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