Polymarket (Global)

Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

Updated 13m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

1¢

Bid 0¢ · Ask 1¢

Pricedger fair probability

1%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

0.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

35,276

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary in…

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