Polymarket (Global)

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Xavier Becerra

Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

96¢

Bid 96¢ · Ask 96¢

Pricedger fair probability

99%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+3.0 pts

On YES after fees · medium confidence

Volume

2,118,644

Fine-print risk

14/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology