Polymarket (Global)
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
xAI
Updated 3m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
1¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 1¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
158,194
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. M…
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