Polymarket (Global)
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?
70%+
Updated 7m ago · Settles Oct 25, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
75¢
Bid 72¢ · Ask 77¢
Pricedger fair probability
77%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
51,561
Fine-print risk
8/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf). If the reported value…
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