Polymarket (Global)
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Updated 24m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
2¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
402,188
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no po…
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