Polymarket (Global)
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
Updated 3m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
7¢
Bid 5¢ · Ask 9¢
Pricedger fair probability
4%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
52,833
Fine-print risk
8/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis (https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token), using the "Supply by Currency Peg" chart under the "By Token" tab. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used. A monthl…
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