Polymarket (Global)
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
≥3.0%
Updated 3m ago · Settles Oct 30, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
76¢
Bid 75¢ · Ask 76¢
Pricedger fair probability
76%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
42,113
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is…
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