Polymarket (Global)
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
December 31
Updated 35m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
24¢
Bid 23¢ · Ask 25¢
Pricedger fair probability
22%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.1 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
32,822
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9…
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