Polymarket (Global)
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?
1-2%
Updated 21m ago · Settles Feb 12, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
89¢
Bid 88¢ · Ask 90¢
Pricedger fair probability
90%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.2 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
44,014
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.…
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