Polymarket (Global)
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
Updated 45m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
5¢
Bid 5¢ · Ask 5¢
Pricedger fair probability
2%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.7 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
57,737
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be i…
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