Polymarket (Global)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
35%
Updated 5m ago · Settles Jan 4, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
31¢
Bid 30¢ · Ask 32¢
Pricedger fair probability
29%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.7 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
117,468
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). Th…
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