Polymarket (Global)

Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?

December 31

Updated 50m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

8¢

Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢

Pricedger fair probability

4%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.8 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

135,092

Fine-print risk

38/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolu…

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