Polymarket (Global)
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
December 31
Updated 19m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
9¢
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
Pricedger fair probability
5%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.2 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
74,770
Fine-print risk
38/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will hav…
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