Polymarket (Global)
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?
Ursula von der Leyen
Updated 1m ago · Settles Dec 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
30¢
Bid 29¢ · Ask 31¢
Pricedger fair probability
28%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
86,105
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. Howev…
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