Polymarket (Global)
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
Updated 16m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
34¢
Bid 33¢ · Ask 35¢
Pricedger fair probability
33%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
56,592
Fine-print risk
36/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Flávio Bolsonaro between October 27, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event…
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