Polymarket (Global)

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Updated 12m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

5¢

Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢

Pricedger fair probability

1%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+3.0 pts

On NO after fees · medium confidence

Volume

123,620

Fine-print risk

30/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from…

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