Polymarket (Global)
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Likud
Updated 1h ago · Settles Jan 1, 27 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
100¢
Bid 100¢ · Ask 100¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
37,303
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents…
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