Polymarket (Global)
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
No release by October 31
Updated 12m ago · Settles Oct 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
75¢
Bid 74¢ · Ask 76¢
Pricedger fair probability
77%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.5 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
49,599
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion…
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