Polymarket (Global)
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?
No release by October 31
Updated 1h ago · Settles Nov 1, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
16¢
Bid 15¢ · Ask 16¢
Pricedger fair probability
13%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
34,299
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner a…
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