Polymarket (Global)
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
↑12.5k
Updated 5m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
7¢
Bid 6¢ · Ask 8¢
Pricedger fair probability
4%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
358,731
Fine-print risk
8/100
Resolution-rule audit
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