Polymarket (Global)
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Shutdown & Republican Party
Updated 21m ago · Settles Feb 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
7¢
Bid 5¢ · Ask 8¢
Pricedger fair probability
3%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
82,750
Fine-print risk
60/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?). The rules and resolution criteria are as follows: 1. Will there be ano…
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