Polymarket (Global)
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
Updated 17m ago · Settles Feb 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
2¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
54,204
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor S…
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