Polymarket (Global)
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?
October 31
Updated 22m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
3¢
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
260,610
Fine-print risk
56/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, the White House, a Cabinet member, an agency or department legally authorized to take such action, or an authorized representative thereof, publicly and officially announces a ban on the export of diesel from the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes…
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