Polymarket (Global)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Updated 39m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
4¢
Bid 4¢ · Ask 4¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
10,917,850
Fine-print risk
50/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies. 1. Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defi…
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