Polymarket (Global)
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
3.5–3.9%
Updated 50m ago · Settles Jan 21, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
46¢
Bid 45¢ · Ask 47¢
Pricedger fair probability
46%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.9 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
60,391
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market wi…
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