Polymarket (Global)
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
Updated 15m ago · Settles Oct 16, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
69¢
Bid 68¢ · Ask 69¢
Pricedger fair probability
70%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.6 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
40,529
Fine-print risk
65/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Tesla is holding an event on October 15, 2026 at 8:55 PM ET where the company is expected to showcase an updated version of the Tesla Roadster. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any version of the Roadster (including a prototype or other non-final version) that is physically present at the event performs a maneuver, under its own power, that makes the entire vehicle, including all four wheels, completely airborne…
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