Polymarket (Global)
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
S&P 500
Updated 23m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
69¢
Bid 68¢ · Ask 70¢
Pricedger fair probability
70%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.1 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
202,751
Fine-print risk
16/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET to the "Close" price for the Bina…
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Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
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