Polymarket (Global)
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?
October 1 - 31, 2026
Updated 8m ago · Settles Oct 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
27¢
Bid 26¢ · Ask 28¢
Pricedger fair probability
26%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
45,098
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline. A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark belo…
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