Polymarket (Global)
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ken Paxton (R)
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
34¢
Bid 33¢ · Ask 34¢
Pricedger fair probability
32%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
1,237,015
Fine-print risk
18/100
Resolution-rule audit
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology