Polymarket (Global)
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ashley Hinson (R)
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
55¢
Bid 54¢ · Ask 55¢
Pricedger fair probability
55%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.1 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
355,440
Fine-print risk
18/100
Resolution-rule audit
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