Polymarket (Global)

Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?

Scott Fitzgerald (R)

Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

94¢

Bid 94¢ · Ask 94¢

Pricedger fair probability

98%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+4.0 pts

On YES after fees · medium confidence

Volume

34,607

Fine-print risk

34/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology