Polymarket (Global)
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?
Scott DesJarlais (R)
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
96¢
Bid 96¢ · Ask 96¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.0 pts
On YES after fees · medium confidence
Volume
44,040
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology