Polymarket (Global)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?
Max Ganorkar (R)
Updated 2m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
3¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
67,446
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively ca…
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