Polymarket (Global)
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?
Mark Alford (R)
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
95¢
Bid 93¢ · Ask 97¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
35,893
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
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