Polymarket (Global)
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
205-209
Updated 14m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
28¢
Bid 26¢ · Ask 29¢
Pricedger fair probability
25%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.5 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
45,061
Fine-print risk
46/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff…
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