Polymarket (Global)
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
195-199
Updated 17m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
15¢
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
Pricedger fair probability
12%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
46,617
Fine-print risk
46/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff…
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