Polymarket (Global)
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
2.25–2.5
Updated 4m ago · Settles Apr 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
20¢
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
Pricedger fair probability
18%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
31,560
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
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