Polymarket (Global)
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
Updated 36m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
13¢
Bid 11¢ · Ask 15¢
Pricedger fair probability
10%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
43,424
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the gover…
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