Polymarket (Global)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
October 31
Updated 12m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
23¢
Bid 22¢ · Ask 24¢
Pricedger fair probability
21%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
148,143
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-P…
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