Polymarket (Global)
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?
December 31
Updated 23m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
77¢
Bid 74¢ · Ask 79¢
Pricedger fair probability
78%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.9 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
43,453
Fine-print risk
52/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily,…
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