Polymarket (Global)
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
60%+
Updated 26m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
41¢
Bid 39¢ · Ask 42¢
Pricedger fair probability
40%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.9 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
50,818
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Erro…
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