Polymarket (Global)
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
45%+
Updated 33m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
79¢
Bid 77¢ · Ask 80¢
Pricedger fair probability
80%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.2 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
32,346
Fine-print risk
8/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or a…
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