Polymarket (Global)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
↓ 2.75%
Updated 12m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
3¢
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
Pricedger fair probability
2%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.5 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
369,370
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this m…
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