Polymarket (Global)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?
25 bps increase
Updated 20m ago · Settles Mar 18, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
51¢
Bid 50¢ · Ask 51¢
Pricedger fair probability
51%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.5 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
52,937
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's March 2027 meeting. If the tar…
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